Iowa Caucus: The early analysis

So far, 88& of precincts have reported, but I think the situation is clear enough for me to come up with my first analysis of the results.

No matter whether Rick Santorum technically finishes first or whether Mitt Romney does, neither candidate can really call it a victory. They've been statistically tied most of the way.

Ron Paul finishing third, just 4% back of the two front runners is very respectable. This could be the platform that Ron Paul has been looking for for years, and it is definitely his best chance of getting to the White House. It's probably also his last chance, as he is 66 now.

Newt Gingrich being placed 4th may not be what he was hoping for, but I'm not sure he'll think the result bad enough to force him to drop out.

Rick Perry coming in 5th, with about 10%. Normally that might be considered bad enough to force a candidate to drop out. But Rick Perry has fundraised a lot of money. Over $15million in fact. His ability to fundraise might just keep him in this.

For the other two in the race, their future seems surprisingly clear. Michele Bachmann in 6th with just 5%, seems destined to drop out. However, she is not known for being able to read the political tea-leaves very well. She may well try to stay in the race, to try and secure a Vice-Presidential nod from one of the other candidates, maybe trying to position herself as a Sarah Palin-esque type candidate, but better, with more experience.

For John Huntsman, in last place with a mere 1%, it is most definitely over. I imagine he will drop out of the race in the next 24-48 hours.

I imagine the next 24 hours will clear up the picture significantly, so I'll be coming back to this story again.

NaVloPoMo 2009 – Day 3: US Election Day 2009

Ian Beaumont looks forward to today's off year elections in the US.

Viewpoint – Sex education and society

Happy Thanksgiving!

To all our US based readers, I'd like to wish you a very happy Thanksgiving Day.

Webstream Of The Week: WABC Eyewitness News Now

Every week, I'm going to recommend a web media stream to either watch or listen to. This week, I'm going to point you in the direction of ABC's New York station, WABC and their digital service, Eyewitness News Now.

Despite the name, this is not a 24 hour news station, although it does cover live breaking news. At other times, it is a localised weather channel, powered by Accuweather.com.

Whilst this is not the best web stream around, it is a great example of how digital TV in the US works differently to in the UK. Whether the US system is better than the UK system is debateable, but at least, you have to chance to make up your own mind.

I rate this stream 7 out of 10, as the technical quality is good, and the text readable at the size on the screen, but I think that the content could be better.